ࡱ> 5@ fbjbj22 ,XX"N"N"N8ZNLOCnQnQnQnQnQnQnQnQ2444444$)R{XxRnQnQxRxRXnQnQ&&&xR>nQnQ2&xR2& &FFnQbQ 5K"NBF0CF^FFHnQ"Q&QQnQnQnQXXd&(&(GIM CHI PH TRUNG GIAN L BIN PHP QUAN TRNG  THC HIN MC TIU PHT TRIN KINH T BN VNG GS.TS. Phm Ngc Kim Trong nhng nm qua tc  tng trng gi tr tng thm (VA) chm hn tc  tng trng ca gi tr sn xut (GO). S tng trng nh vy ca nn kinh t quc dn phn no ni ln hiu qu sn xut ca x hi b suy gim ng thi cing th hin mt trong s rt nhiu yu t gy ra s tng trng kinh t khng bn vng. Trong bi bo ny chng ti mun nu ln thc trng ca s cch bit v mt s gii php cn thit  gim bi s cch bit v nhp  tng trng ca 2 ch tiu ny trong cng nghip Vit Nam, v y l l)nh vc c tc  tng trng nhanh v s dng nhiu ngun ti nguyn khng th ti to c. S pht trin bn vng ca ngnh cng nghip s gp phn tch cc khng ch vo s pht trin bn vng ca ton b nn kinh t quc dn m cn l c s  pht trin bn vng ca l)nh vc x hi v mi trng. Khi ni n tng trng kinh t, theo quan im ca chng ti, ch  cp ti s tng ln ca phn gi tr mi sng to VA (xt cho n v sn xut kinh doanh hoc trn gic  ngnh hoc nhm ngnh kinh t) hoc GDP (xt trn gic  ton b nn kinh t quc dn). Ni cch khc, khi ni tng trng kinh t l ni gi tr tng thm  tng ln bao nhiu phn trm so vi k trc hoc so vi k hoch. Gi tr tng thm c tnh bng cng thc VA = GO - IC Trong : GO l gi tr sn xut v IC l chi ph trung gian Gi tr tng thm ph thuc thun vo GO v nghch vi IC. Do , gim chi ph trung gian l mt bin php cc k quan trng  nng cao hiu qu sn xut ca x hi ng thi m bo cho s tng trng kinh t. Sn xut cng nghip ca nc ta trong nhng nm qua din ra tnh trng c tnh quy lut khng theo mong mun ca cc nh qun l. S mong munThc t din raTc  tng trng ca GO > Tc  tng trng ca ICTc  tng trng ca GO < Tc  tng trng ca ICTc  tng trng ca GO < Tc  tng trng ca VATc  tng trng ca GO > Tc  tng trng ca VA minh chng cho nhn nh trn ta quan st thng tin trong biu 01. BIU 01. TC  TNG TRNG V T TRNG CA GO; VA; IC QUA CC NM CA NGNH CNG KHAI THC M NmGO (t ng)IC (t ng)VA (t ng)Tc  tng trng so vi nm trc% VA trong GO% IC trong GOGOICVAA12345678199513919,73574,71034574,3225,68200027334,68904,61843096,37149,1078,1567,4232,58200129097,29912,2191856,4511,324,1065,9334,07200230326,410930,4193964,2210,271,1063,9636,04200333002,412483,4205198,8214,215,7962,1737,83Ngun: Nin gim thng k 2003 (3) (trong tt c cc biu: ct 4, 5, 6 ca nm 2000 l so vi nm 1995; s liu nm 2003 l s s b) Tt c cc thng tin tnh ton trong bi ny u tnh theo gi so snh 1994. S d) chng ti khng s dng gi thc t v khng c thng tin v GO cng nghip tnh theo gi thc t nm 2003. Ngnh cng nghip khai thc m gm khai thc than; du th v kh t nhin; khai thc qung kim loi; khai thc  v cc loi m khc. y l ngnh c t trng IC thp nht v tng ng vi n l t trng VA trong GO l cao nht trong cc ngnh cng nghip  nc ta hin nay. Chi ph trung gian ca ngnh ny tng ln qu nhanh (ct 5). Tc  tng trng ca IC ln hn tc  tng trng ca GO t 1,5 ln nm 1995 ln gn 2,5 ln nm 2002. BIU 02. SO SNH TC  TNG CA GO V IC NGNH CNG NGHIP KHAI THC n v: % NmTc  tng trng ca GOTc  tng trng ca ICSo snh tc  tng ca IC vi GO1995200096,37149,10154,7220016,4511,32175,5020024,2210,27243,3620038,8214,21161,11Ngun: Nin gim thng k 2003 (3) Do , t trng chi ph trung gian chim trong GO t 25,68% nm 1995  tng ln ti 37,83% vo nm 2003. iu ny  dn n kt cc tt yu l phn gi tr tng thm b suy gim t 74,32% nm 1995 xung cn 62,17% vo nm 2003. 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Chnh v chim t trng ln nh vy nn bt k mt s thay i no  trong ngnh ny u nh hng rt nhiu ti s bin ng chung ca ton b khu vc cng nghip. Nhn chung, cng nghip ch bin ca Vit Nam nm trong tnh trng ly cng lm li, m tin cng  y cing qu r so vi cc nc. BIU 03. TC  TNG TRNG V T TRNG CA GO; VA; IC QUA CC NM CA NGNH CNG CH BIN NmGO (t ng)IC (t ng)VA (t ng)Tc  tng trng so vi nm trc% VA trong GO% IC trong GOGOICVA199583260,553029,53023136,3163,6920001580981066065149289,88101,0370,3332,5767,4320011835421262075733516,0918,3911,3531,2468,7620022136971497146398316,4318,6311,6029,9470,0620032501261788147131217,0519,4411,4528,5171,49Ngun: Nin gim thng k 2003 (3) Vi cng nghip ch bin th tc  tng ca IC vn ln hn tc  tng ca GO. Bi th  a n tc  tng ca VA nh hn tc  tng GO. S chnh lch gia tc  tng trng ca GO v IC nh hn nhiu so vi ngnh cng nghip khai thc. Bin  chnh lch gia 2 ch tiu ny ca cng nghip ch bin ch nm trong khong 13 -14%. BIU 04. SO SNH TC  TNG TRNG CA GO V IC NGNH CNG NGHIP CH BIN NmTc  tng trng ca GOTc  tng trng ca ICSo snh tc  tng ca IC vi GO1995200089,88101,00112,37200116,0918,39114,29200216,4318,63113,39200317,0519,44114,02Ngun: Nin gim thng k 2003 (3) T tnh ton trn cho thy: Mt l, tc  tng trng ca phn gi tr mi sng to (VA) tng ln chm hn GO. iu  cing c ngh)a l hiu qu sn xut ca cng nghip ch bin cha c ci thin, thm ch cn suy gim nh. Hai l, t trng phn gi tr tng thm ca ngnh cng nghip ch bin  nc ta qu nh trong GO. Qua  th hin cng nghip ch bin cn mang nng tnh cht gia cng, lm thu. i vi ngnh cng nghip sn xut, phn phi in nc, in v kh t cing din ra tng t nh 2 ngnh cng nghip trn: tc  tng trng ca GO chm hn tc  tng trng ca IC. Do , t trng ca VA trong GO gim t 54,63% nm 1995 xung cn 44,99% vo nm 2003 (dng 5, biu 05). Theo chng ti, s suy gim nh vy l qu nhanh, trung bnh 1 nm gim 1%. BIU 05. TNH HNH PHT TRIN CA MT S CH TIU CH YU CA NGNH CNG NGHIP SN XUT, PHN PHI IN, KH T V NC CA VIT NAM TRONG NHNG NM QUA n v tnh: % Nm19952000200120022003A123451. Tc  tng trng GO108,1014,0416,0916,362. Tc  tng trng IC133,3014,8520,5420,373. Tc  tng trng VA87,2613,1911,4211,804. % IC trong GO45,3750,8551,2253,1855,015. % VA trong GO54,6349,1548,7846,8244,99Ngun: Nin gim thng k 2003 (3) T nhng phn tch trn cho thy: 1. Chi ph trung gian tng ln thng xuyn qua cc nm din ra  c 3 ngnh cng nghip cp 1. y l du hiu ca qu trnh sn xut km hiu qu. 2. S gia tng ca chi ph trung gian th hin s dng lng ph vt t sn xut. Bi v phi chi ra ngy mt nhiu hn chi ph vt cht v dch v  lm ra mt n v sn phm. Nu tnh trng ny c ti din s ph v tnh bn vng ca sn xut. Nh trn  nu tinh thn c bn ca 5 mc tiu pht trin bn vng v kinh t l phi duy tr tng trng nhanh v n nh trn c s nng cao khng ngng tnh hiu qu, s dng tit kim ti nguyn thin nhin v ci thin mi trng,& 3. Cng nghip l l)nh vc s dng nhiu ti nguyn khng th ti to c. Nu s dng km hiu qu th trong tng lai s khng cn nguyn liu  phc v cho sn xut. 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